MMA fight prediction Ariane Carnelossi vs Ketlen Souza

Fight at UFC Fight Night 278 Muhammad vs. Bonfim 2026-06-06

Ariane Carnelossi
Any , Sorriso

Brazil
Brazil
Age: 33
Birth date: 1992-11-17
Height: 157 sm Weight: 52 kg
Weight categories: Strawweight

Ketlen Souza
Esquentadinha

Brazil
Brazil
Height: 160 sm
Weight categories: Strawweight
Wins Losses Draws
15 3 0
KOs
9
1
Submissions
2
1
Decisions
3
1
Wins Losses Draws
9 4 0
KOs
2
1
Submissions
2
1
Decisions
5
2

Main prediction

Winner: Ketlen Souza
Loser: Ariane Carnelossi

5%
95%

If win, then win by:


Decision 36.0%

KO 34.0%

Submission 29.0%


Decision 38.0%

Submission 31.0%

KO 31.0%

Disadvantages

A little lower

Gender advantage

Advantages

A bit higher

Gender advantage

Rating prediction

58.0%
42.0%

Past fights

Win

Event:

Date: 2019-05-24

TKO (Body shot)

Round: 3 Time: 03:53

Loss

Opposition crossing

Result Date Event
Win
Disqualification
(Accidental event)
Round: 2 Time: 3:16
2024-05-18 UFC Fight Night 241
Barboza vs. Murphy
Event Date Result
UFC on ESPN 71
Taira vs. Park
2025-08-02 Loss
Decision

Round: 3 Time: 5:00
Result Date Event
Loss
TKO
(Мedical stoppage)
Round: 3 Time: 1:56
2019-09-21 UFC Fight Night 159
Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 251
Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
2025-02-15 Loss
Decision

Round: 3 Time: 5:00
Result Date Event
Win
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 1 Time: 4:00
2014-11-08 Show Combat MMA 2
MMA 2
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 266
Bautista vs. Oliveira
2026-02-07 Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00