MMA fight prediction Antonio Rogerio Nogueira vs Mauricio Rua

Antonio Rogerio Nogueira

Brazil
Brazil
Age: 50
Birth date: 1976-06-02
Height: 188 sm Weight: 93 kg
Weight categories: Light Heavyweight

Mauricio Rua
Shogun

Brazil
Brazil
Age: 44
Birth date: 1981-11-25
Height: 185 sm Weight: 93 kg
Weight categories: Light Heavyweight
Wins Losses Draws
23 10 0
KOs
8
4
Submissions
6
Decisions
9
6
Wins Losses Draws
27 14 1
KOs
21
7
Submissions
1
3
Decisions
5
4
Draws
1

Main prediction

Winner: Mauricio Rua
Loser: Antonio Rogerio Nogueira

44.0%
56.0%

If win, then win by:


KO 35.0%

Decision 33.0%

Submission 31.0%


KO 45.0%

Decision 29.0%

Submission 26.0%

Advantages

A bit higher

Disadvantages

Big break between fights

  • Loss of physical fitness and competitive tone are likely

Short series of defeats

Older

Advantages

Younger

Disadvantages

Break between fights

  • Possible loss of fitness and competitive tone

A little lower

Defeat series

Rating prediction

47.0%
53.0%

Past fights

Loss

Event:

Date: 2020-07-25

Decision

Round: 3 Time: 5:00

Win
Loss

Event:

Date: 2015-08-01

Decision (Unanimous)

Round: 3 Time: 5:00

Win
Loss

Event:

Date: 2005-06-26

Decision (Unanimous)

Round: 3 Time: 5:00

Win

Opposition crossing

Kazuhiro Nakamura

Result Date Event
Win
Decision

Round: 2 Time: 5:00 		2004-07-19 Pride
Bushido 4
Win
Submission
(Armbar)
Round: 2 Time: 3:49 		2003-03-16 Pride 25
Body Blow
Event Date Result
Pride FC
Shockwave 2006 		2006-12-31 Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00

Dan Henderson

Result Date Event
Win
Submission
(Armbar)
Round: 1 Time: 8:05 		2005-04-23 Pride FC
Total Elimination 2005
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 38
Shogun vs. Henderson 2 		2014-03-23 Loss
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 3 Time: 1:31
UFC 139
Shogun vs. Henderson 		2011-11-19 Loss
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 5 Time: 5:00

Alistair Overeem

Result Date Event
Win
TKO
(Towel)
Round: 2 Time: 2:13 		2006-07-01 Pride FC
Critical Countdown Absolute
Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00 		2005-02-20 Pride 29
Fists of Fire
Event Date Result
Pride 33
Second Coming 		2007-02-24 Win
KO
(Punch)
Round: 1 Time: 3:37
Pride FC
Final Conflict 2005 		2005-08-28 Win
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 1 Time: 6:42