MMA fight prediction Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Thawng

Fight at UFC 331 Van vs. Pantoja 2 2026-09-19

Alexandre Pantoja
The Cannibal

Brazil
Brazil
Age: 36
Birth date: 1990-04-16
Height: 165 sm Weight: 56 kg
Weight categories: Flyweight

Joshua Thawng

United States
United States
Weight categories: Flyweight
Wins Losses Draws
30 6 0
KOs
8
1
Submissions
12
Decisions
10
5
Wins Losses Draws
14 2 0
KOs
8
1
Submissions
1
Decisions
6

Main prediction

Winner: Joshua Thawng
Loser: Alexandre Pantoja

48.0%
52.0%

If win, then win by:


Submission 34.0%

Decision 34.0%

KO 31.0%


Decision 39.0%

KO 34.0%

Submission 27.0%

Advantages

Significantly greater experience fighting in professional MMA tournaments

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Winning streak

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Rating prediction

54.0%
46.0%

Past fights

Loss

Event:

Date: 2025-12-06

TKO (Мedical stoppage)

Round: 1 Time: 0:26

Win

Opposition crossing

Brandon Royval

Result Date Event
Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 5 Time: 5:00 		2023-12-16 UFC 296
Edwards vs. Covington
Win
Submission
(Rear-naked choke)
Round: 2 Time: 1:46 		2021-08-21 UFC on ESPN 29
Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Event Date Result
UFC 317
Topuria vs. Oliveira 		2025-06-28 Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00