MMA fight prediction Artur Szpilka vs Augusto Sakai

Fight at KSW 120 Haratyk vs. Lesko 2026-07-18

Artur Szpilka
he Pi

Poland
Poland
Height: 193 sm
Weight categories: Heavyweight

Augusto Sakai

Brazil
Brazil
Age: 35
Birth date: 1991-05-19
Height: 193 sm Weight: 120 kg
Weight categories: Heavyweight
Wins Losses Draws
4 1 0
KOs
3
1
Submissions
1
Wins Losses Draws
17 7 1
KOs
11
4
Decisions
6
3
Draws
1

Main prediction

Winner: Augusto Sakai
Loser: Artur Szpilka

24.0%
76.0%

If win, then win by:


KO 35.0%

Decision 34.0%

Submission 31.0%


KO 42.0%

Decision 30.0%

Submission 28.0%

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Over the past 2 years at tournaments of this promotion, the percentage of victories of fighters from the country in which the tournament is heldis 61%. Possible selection of convenient rivals for domestic fighters

Short winning streak

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Advantages

Significantly greater experience fighting in professional MMA tournaments

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Over the past 2 years at tournaments of this promotion, the percentage of victories of fighters from the country in which the tournament is heldis 61%. Possible selection of convenient rivals for domestic fighters

Rating prediction

44.0%
56.0%