MMA fight prediction Christian Duncan vs Jared Cannonier

Fight at UFC Fight Night 281 July 18 2026-07-18

Christian Duncan

United Kingdom
United Kingdom
Weight: 84 kg
Weight categories: Middleweight

Jared Cannonier
The Killa Gorilla

United States
United States
Age: 42
Birth date: 1984-03-16
Height: 182 sm Weight: 93 kg
Weight categories: Light Heavyweight
Wins Losses Draws
13 2 0
KOs
9
Submissions
1
Decisions
3
2
Wins Losses Draws
18 9 0
KOs
10
3
Submissions
3
Decisions
5
6

Main prediction

Winner: Jared Cannonier
Loser: Christian Duncan

41.0%
59.0%

If win, then win by:


Decision 36.0%

KO 34.0%

Submission 29.0%


KO 36.0%

Decision 35.0%

Submission 29.0%

Advantages

Winning streak

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

A bit lighter

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

A bit heavier

More experience fighting in professional MMA tournaments

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Rating prediction

59.0%
41.0%

Opposition crossing

Gregory Rodrigues

Result Date Event
Loss
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00 		2024-07-27 UFC 304
Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 251
Cannonier vs. Rodrigues 		2025-02-15 Win
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 4 Time: 0:21