MMA fight prediction Karen Date vs Chiara Penco

Fight at Pancrase 366 2026-09-23

Karen Date

Japan
Japan
Age: 22
Birth date: 2003-09-01
Height: 144 sm Weight: 47 kg
Weight categories: Atomweight

Chiara Penco

Italy
Italy
Weight: 56 kg
Weight categories: Flyweight
Wins Losses Draws
7 2 0
KOs
3
Submissions
1
Decisions
3
2
Wins Losses Draws
9 3 0
KOs
1
Submissions
5
Decisions
3
3

Main prediction

Winner: Karen Date
Loser: Chiara Penco

73.0%
27.0%

If win, then win by:


Decision 41.0%

KO 30.0%

Submission 29.0%


Decision 36.0%

Submission 32.0%

KO 32.0%

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

A bit lighter

Advantages

A bit heavier

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Rating prediction

53.0%
47.0%