MMA fight prediction Meng Ding vs Cam Nelson

Fight at UFC Fight Night 286 Nurmagomedov vs. Song 2026-08-29

Meng Ding

China
China
Weight: 75 kg
Weight categories: Welterweight

Cam Nelson

Weight categories: Welterweight
Wins Losses Draws
17 7 0
KOs
13
1
Submissions
2
Decisions
4
4
Wins Losses Draws
2 0 0
KOs
1
Submissions
1

Main prediction

Winner: Meng Ding
Loser: Cam Nelson

73.0%
27.0%

If win, then win by:


KO 39.0%

Decision 32.0%

Submission 29.0%


Decision 34.0%

Submission 33.0%

KO 33.0%

Advantages

Significantly greater experience fighting in professional MMA tournaments

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Advantages

Short winning streak

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Rating prediction

49.0%
51.0%