MMA fight prediction Brian Ortega vs Renato Carneiro

Fight at UFC 331 Van vs. Pantoja 2026-09-19

Brian Ortega
T-City

United States
United States
Age: 35
Birth date: 1991-02-21
Height: 175 sm Weight: 65 kg
Weight categories: Featherweight

Renato Carneiro
Moicano

Brazil
Brazil
Age: 37
Birth date: 1989-05-21
Height: 180 sm Weight: 65 kg
Weight categories: Featherweight
Wins Losses Draws
16 5 0
KOs
3
2
Submissions
8
Decisions
5
3
Wins Losses Draws
21 7 1
KOs
2
3
Submissions
11
2
Decisions
8
2
Draws
1

Main prediction

Winner: Brian Ortega
Loser: Renato Carneiro

53.0%
47.0%

If win, then win by:


Decision 38.0%

KO 33.0%

Submission 30.0%


Decision 36.0%

Submission 33.0%

KO 31.0%

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Short series of defeats

Lower

Advantages

Higher

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Rating prediction

51.0%
49.0%

Past fights

Win

Event:

Date: 2017-07-29

Submission (Guillotine)

Round: 3 Time: 2:59

Loss

Opposition crossing

Cub Swanson

Result Date Event
Win
Submission
(Guillotine)
Round: 2 Time: 3:22 		2017-12-09 UFC Fight Night 123
Swanson vs. Ortega
Event Date Result
UFC 227
Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 		2018-08-04 Win
Submission
(Rear-naked choke)
Round: 1 Time: 4:15

Chan Sung Jung

Result Date Event
Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 5 Time: 5:00 		2020-10-17 UFC Fight Night 180
Ortega vs. Korean Zombie
Event Date Result
UFC Fight Night 154
Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie 		2019-06-22 Loss
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 1 Time: 0:58