MMA fight prediction Sebastian Przybysz vs Rogerio Bontorin

Fight at KSW 120 Haratyk vs. Lesko 2026-07-18

Sebastian Przybysz

Poland
Poland
Age: 32
Birth date: 1993-07-28
Height: 175 sm Weight: 61 kg
Weight categories: Bantamweight

Rogerio Bontorin

Brazil
Brazil
Age: 34
Birth date: 1992-04-25
Height: 165 sm Weight: 56 kg
Weight categories: Flyweight
Wins Losses Draws
14 5 1
KOs
5
Submissions
5
1
Decisions
4
4
Draws
1
Wins Losses Draws
18 6 0
KOs
3
3
Submissions
11
1
Decisions
4
2

Main prediction

Winner: Sebastian Przybysz
Loser: Rogerio Bontorin

66.0%
34.0%

If win, then win by:


Decision 36.0%

KO 35.0%

Submission 29.0%


Decision 36.0%

Submission 32.0%

KO 32.0%

Advantages

Home country

  • Perhaps biased judging
  • The moral advantage of fighting at home

Over the past 2 years at tournaments of this promotion, the percentage of victories of fighters from the country in which the tournament is heldis 62%. Possible selection of convenient rivals for domestic fighters

A bit heavier

Significantly higher

Disadvantages

Possible moral pressure due to home fighting

Disadvantages

Guest fighting

  • Perhaps biased judging

Over the past 2 years at tournaments of this promotion, the percentage of victories of fighters from the country in which the tournament is heldis 62%. Possible selection of convenient rivals for domestic fighters

A bit lighter

Much lower

Rating prediction

57.0%
43.0%

Opposition crossing

Vitaliy Yakimenko

Result Date Event
Loss
Decision

Round: 5 Time: 5:00 		2026-02-21 KSW 115
Przybysz vs. Yakymenko
Event Date Result
KSW 110
Grzebyk vs. Tulshaev 		2025-09-20 Loss
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 3 Time: 4:30