MMA fight prediction Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Justin Gaethje

Khabib Nurmagomedov
The Eagle

Russia
Russia
Age: 37
Birth date: 1988-09-20
Height: 177 sm Weight: 70 kg
Weight categories: Lightweight

Justin Gaethje
The Highlight

United States
United States
Age: 37
Birth date: 1988-11-14
Height: 180 sm Weight: 70 kg
Weight categories: Lightweight
Wins Losses Draws
29 0 0
KOs
8
Submissions
11
Decisions
10
Wins Losses Draws
27 5 0
KOs
20
3
Submissions
1
2
Decisions
6

Main prediction

Winner: Justin Gaethje
Loser: Khabib Nurmagomedov

45.0%
55.0%

If win, then win by:


Decision 34.0%

Submission 33.0%

KO 33.0%


KO 40.0%

Decision 33.0%

Submission 28.0%

Advantages

Long winning streak

Disadvantages

Big break between fights

  • Loss of physical fitness and competitive tone are likely

A little lower

Advantages

A bit higher

Short winning streak

Rating prediction

42.0%
58.0%

Past fights

Win

Event:

Date: 2020-10-24

Technical submission (Triangle)

Round: 2 Time: 1:34

Loss

Opposition crossing

Edson Barboza

Result Date Event
Win
Decision
(Unanimous)
Round: 3 Time: 5:00 		2017-12-30 UFC 219
Cyborg vs. Holm
Event Date Result
UFC on ESPN 2
Barboza vs. Gaethje 		2019-03-30 Win
KO
(Punch)
Round: 1 Time: 2:30

Dustin Poirier

Result Date Event
Win
Submission
(Rear-naked choke)
Round: 3 Time: 2:06 		2019-09-07 UFC 242
Khabib vs. Poirier
Event Date Result
UFC 291
Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 		2023-07-29 Win
KO

Round: 2 Time: 1:00
UFC on Fox 29
Poirier vs. Gaethje 		2018-04-14 Loss
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 4 Time: 0:33

Michael Johnson

Result Date Event
Win
Submission
(Kimura)
Round: 3 Time: 2:31 		2016-11-12 UFC 205
Alvarez vs. McGregor
Event Date Result
The Ultimate Fighter 25 Finale
None 		2017-07-07 Win
TKO
(Punch)
Round: 2 Time: 4:48